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Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: FTI shows a rising trend in implied volatility and strong historical price returns, suggesting positive investor sentiment. With robust contract wins and ongoing demand for energy, FTI is positioned for further growth.



Bearish Case: Despite recent bullish indicators, FTI faces risks of mean reversion and declining trading volume that suggest potential stagnation or price corrections amid worsening market conditions.



Potential Outcomes:

1. 50% chance of price appreciation towards $32 due to strong market demand and upcoming earnings reports.

2. 30% risk of stagnation around $30 caused by faded momentum.

3. 20% potential downturn to $25 driven by economic uncertainties and profit-taking.



Trading Oracle: Consider bullish long call spreads by buying $30 calls and selling $31 calls, expiring in ~29 days. This targets high rewards amidst current rising volatility. Pair with short put spreads to capitalize on downside convexity, leveraging positive implied volatilities with a favorable risk/reward ratio for growth.


November 22, 2024


TechnipFMC Forecast

FTI        TechnipFMC

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