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FVRR Forecast

Price Forecast:

80% Confidence

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Fiverr's enterprise solutions and AI integration could drive growth, with backwardation supporting higher implied volatility potential.

Bearish Case: Macroeconomic challenges and AI disruptions threaten FVRR’s core business, as flatter historical returns suggest limited upside.

Potential Outcomes: 40% enterprise growth, 35% AI disruption harms market, 20% macro challenges persist, 5% competitive pressures.

Trading Oracle: Execute a debit spread with a bullish bias: buy April $32 calls, sell April $37 calls. This strategy leverages backwardation and current implied volatility, targeting a 60-day horizon with high reward-to-risk potential.

December 29, 2024

Fiverr Forecast

FVRR Fiverr

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with FVRR

AUPH Aurinia Pharmaceuticals (0.82)

VSCO Victoria's Secret (0.76)

WMT Walmart (0.76)

TTWO Take-Two Interactive Software (0.74)

AVXL Anavex Life Sciences (0.72)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to FVRR

HUMA Humacyte (-0.0)

FDX Fedex (0.0)

NAIL Direxion Daily Homebuilders & Supplies Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)

EMR Emerson Electric (0.01)

DV DoubleVerify (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against FVRR

VLO Valero Energy (-0.68)

FANG Diamondback Energy (-0.69)

MPC Marathon Petroleum (-0.7)

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.72)

STAA Staar Surgical (-0.74)

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