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GENI Forecast



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Genius Sports could see substantial growth driven by strategic partnerships, particularly with the NFL, enhancing revenue ahead of the sports betting market expansion.



Bearish Case: Continued legal challenges may detract from investor confidence, leading to persistent downward pressure on share prices despite any positive business developments.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 1. Strong NFL deal boosts revenue (Prob: 40%)
  • 2. Legal challenges escalate, harming stock (Prob: 30%)
  • 3. Stable performance with minimal change (Prob: 15%)
  • 4. Unforeseen market disruptions (Prob: 15%)



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish call debit spread buying $10 calls expiring in January 2025 and selling $12.50 calls. With implied volatility at 47.9%, this targets the anticipated positive momentum in share price while limiting downside risk exposure. Maintain vigilance on legal developments to adjust strategy accordingly.


December 15, 2024


Genius Sports Forecast

GENI        Genius Sports

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OTEX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OTEX  Open Text (0.0)


CRESY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRESY  Cresud (0.0)


AA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AA  Alcoa (0.01)


EOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EOG  EOG Resources (-0.01)


ACAD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACAD  Acadia Pharmaceuticals (-0.01)



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VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (-0.77)


SIMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SIMO  Silicon Motion Technology (-0.78)


RILY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RILY  B. Riley Financial (-0.79)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.8)


OXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OXY  Occidental Petroleum (-0.81)







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