GEO Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: GEO shows a potential for gains with recent price support and increased call volumes. High bullish risk and mean reversion trends support possible upward movements.




Bearish Case: Implied volatility and historical declines suggest potential downsides. High option volatility and legal challenges add pressure, leading to bearish market sentiment.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 65% chance of short-term price recovery due to mean reversion.
  • 25% chance of flat pricing driven by market uncertainty.
  • 10% chance of a sharp decline from legal backlash.



April 04, 2025


Geo Group Forecast

GEO        Geo Group











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DFS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DFS  Discover Financial Services (0.81)


MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (0.79)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GEO



JDST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JDST  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Be (-0.0)


BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.01)


BA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BA  Boeing (-0.02)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.02)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GEO



TAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAN  Invesco Solar (-0.76)


XP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XP  XP (-0.76)


ZROZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZROZ  PIMCO 25+ Year Zero Coupon U.S. Treasury Index Exchange-Traded (-0.76)


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.77)


BCE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCE  BCE (-0.86)









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