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GGAL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Potential for rising market confidence due to improving fiscal policies in Argentina and historical upward trends, despite short-term uncertainties.

Bearish Case: Sustained economic instability in Argentina reflects a prolonged risk of downside, compounded by recent negative price momentum and high put volume.

Potential Outcomes: Recovery likelihood at 40% due to previous stable growth trends. Stagnation possibility at 30% with moderating volatility. Risk of decline 30% amid economic uncertainties.

Trading Oracle: Leverage [Bullish Long Volatility](https://heliumtrades.com/forecast/GGAL/cheap-convexity/call) due to higher AI implied volatility forecasts, indicating potential upside. This strategy capitalizes on significant call interest and a 324% potential return, suggesting market optimism.

March 02, 2025

Grupo Financiero Galicia Forecast

GGAL Grupo Financiero Galicia

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GGAL

BBAR BBVA Argentina (0.98)

SUPV Grupo Supervielle S.A. (0.98)

ARGT Global X Funds - Global X MSCI Argentina (0.98)

YPF YPF (0.96)

APP Applovin Corp (0.93)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GGAL

TAL TAL Education (-0.0)

ITB BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (-0.0)

RMBS Rambus (0.01)

PHM PulteGroup (0.01)

LHX L3Harris (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GGAL

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (-0.86)

VAL Valaris (-0.86)

COTY Coty (-0.87)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.87)

GES Guess (-0.88)

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