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GIII Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: GIII's recent strategic moves, including brand diversification and improved financial positioning, provide upward momentum. Historical return graphs suggest relative likelihood of positive trends in short holding periods, supporting potential gains.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and recent stock decline signal potential continued downward pressure. Institutional selling and market skepticism further amplify bearish sentiment, posing risks for price drops.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 50% Mean Reversion ($27-30).
  • 20% Negative Earnings Surprise (Below $23).
  • 30% Positive Catalysts Lead to Recovery ($30+).



Trading Oracle: Utilize the Bullish Long Volatility strategy by buying OOTM $25 call options and selling $30 calls. This exploits potential sharp movements and high implied volatility. View related strategy: Helium Strategy.


March 12, 2025


G-III Apparel Forecast

GIII        G-III Apparel

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GIII


PWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PWR  Quanta Services (0.74)


GEVO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GEVO  Gevo (0.73)


BBW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBW  Build A Bear Workshop (0.72)


BYRN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BYRN  Byrna (0.71)


ZM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZM  Zoom Video Communications (0.69)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GIII


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.01)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (-0.01)


VXUS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXUS  Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total International Stock (-0.02)


STX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STX  Seagate Technology (0.02)


BC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BC  Brunswick (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GIII


AZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AZN  Astrazeneca (-0.56)


TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (-0.57)


ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.59)


RWM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWM  ProShares Trust - ProShares Short Russell2000 (-0.6)


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.69)







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