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GMS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: GMS's acquisition by Home Depot supports strategic growth, with increased market coverage boosting earnings potential and unlocking shareholder value.

Bearish Case: Ongoing competition and integration risks may cast a shadow on immediate financial returns post-acquisition, with possible market correction.

Potential Outcomes: Home Depot acquisition boosts growth (60%).
Integration issues dampen prospects (25%).
Market correction follows initial hype (15%).

July 02, 2025

GMS Forecast

GMS GMS

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GMS

CMC Commercial Metals (0.9)

GEOS Geospace (0.86)

SMG Scotts Miracle-Gro (0.85)

DIN Dine Brands (0.83)

IRM Iron Mountain (0.81)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GMS

KLAC KLA (-0.0)

MTZ Mastec (-0.0)

CEG Constellation Energy (0.01)

UAL United Airlines (-0.01)

VST Vistra (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GMS

GFI Gold Fields (-0.61)

CPER United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Copper Index (-0.62)

FNV Franco-Nevada (-0.65)

OKTA Okta (-0.65)

CNP Centerpoint Energy (-0.67)

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