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GOLD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Strong central bank gold purchases and strategic investments in copper boost Barrick's growth outlook amid ongoing economic uncertainties.

Bearish Case: Rising production costs and geopolitical tensions persist, potentially undermining Barrick's earnings despite favorable gold market conditions.

Potential Outcomes: Strong central bank buying (60%)
Reko Diq project boost (50%)
Cost pressures weigh on margins (40%)
Geopolitical tensions escalate (30%)

April 21, 2025

Barrick Gold Forecast

GOLD Barrick Gold

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GOLD

KO Coca-Cola (0.8)

UL Unilever (0.74)

HCA HCA Healthcare (0.71)

HL Hecla Mining (0.71)

AMGN AMGEN (0.71)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GOLD

NKE Nike (0.0)

CRH CRH Plc (0.0)

VT Vanguard Group, Inc. - Vanguard Total World Stock (0.0)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (-0.01)

STM New York Shares (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GOLD

QYLD Global X NASDAQ 100 Covered Call (-0.6)

TBT PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.64)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (-0.65)

OUST Ouster (-0.66)

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.68)

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