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GS Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Goldman Sachs' strategic expansion into digital assets and AI fosters innovation. Strong long-term historical return patterns suggest further growth. Increased call option volume indicates positive investor sentiment.

Bearish Case: Continued insider selling and regulatory challenges may pose short-term risks. High implied volatility in shorter tenors reflects potential for downward price movement.

Potential Outcomes: Strategic Success: 35% chance GS rises by 7% due to AI and digital expansions.
Regulatory Impact: 30% chance of a 10% decline from regulatory penalties.
Stability Continues: 35% chance price stays within +/-3% range due to market indecisiveness.

May 20, 2025

Goldman Sachs Group Forecast

GS Goldman Sachs Group

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GS

XLF Financial Select Sector SPDR (0.97)

NDAQ Nasdaq (0.96)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.95)

RCL Royal Caribbean (0.95)

AXP American Express (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GS

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.0)

BBY Best Buy (-0.01)

VIXY ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.01)

AA Alcoa (0.02)

SCO ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Crude Oil (0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GS

OXY Occidental Petroleum (-0.72)

STNG Scorpio Tankers (-0.73)

XP XP (-0.73)

STM New York Shares (-0.74)

PAGS PagSeguro Digital (-0.78)

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