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GWRS Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: GWRS's strategic focus on sustainable water management positions it well as environmental concerns grow. Successful acquisitions and potential regulatory approvals hint at increased future earnings.



Bearish Case: High implied volatility and stagnant recent price action suggest investor uncertainty. Market skepticism about financial performance amidst regulatory and environmental pressures could limit upside.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Tucson acquisition boosts revenue (55%).

2. Regulatory rate approval (45%).

3. Revenue decline persists (25%).

4. Market volatility due to uncertainty (40%).



Trading Oracle: Trade GWRS bearishly with debit put spreads targeting the $10-$12.50 range for 3 months. Given high implied volatility and uncertain outlook, this harnesses potential downside. Maintain strong risk management to protect against unexpected rebounds.


January 24, 2025


Global Water Resources Forecast

GWRS        Global Water Resources

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with GWRS


CMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMC  Commercial Metals (0.65)


IAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IAC  IAC InterActiveCorp. (0.57)


WSC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WSC  WillScot Mobile Mini (0.55)


XLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLB  Active Trust - Materials Select Sector SPDR (0.49)


WY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WY  Weyerhaeuser (0.49)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to GWRS


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (0.0)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (0.0)


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (0.0)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (0.0)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against GWRS


PPTA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PPTA  Perpetua Resources (-0.25)


CRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRK  Comstock Resources (-0.25)


GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GLNG  Golar Lng (-0.26)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.37)


DKS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DKS  Dicks Sporting Goods (-0.38)







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