HCA Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: HCA’s bullish outlook is supported by strong call volume and increased integrations in technology, suggesting potential for growth despite flat volatility. The implied volatility surface indicates potential positive momentum.




Bearish Case: Legal challenges, insider selling, and high implied volatility suggest potential downward pressure. Historical mean reversion and market uncertainty further amplify downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Positive Earnings Surprise: 40% chance increases stock price.
  • Legal Settlements: 30% chance causing temporary dips.
  • Regulatory Changes: 30% potential for volatility.




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May 25, 2025


HCA Healthcare Forecast

HCA        HCA Healthcare











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HCA



O Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   O  Realty Income (0.77)


ES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ES  Eversource Energy (0.73)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.71)


BAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAX  Baxter International (0.67)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (0.66)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HCA



SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (0.0)


ETNB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETNB  89bio (0.01)


ITA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITA  BTC iShares U.S. Aerospac (0.03)


BABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BABA  Alibaba (0.03)


ZBH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZBH  Zimmer Biomet (0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HCA



ET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ET  Energy Transfer LP (-0.61)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.65)


FSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSK  FS KKR (-0.67)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.73)


RLX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RLX  RLX Technology (-0.74)









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