HCA Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: HCA’s bullish outlook is supported by strong call volume and increased integrations in technology, suggesting potential for growth despite flat volatility. The implied volatility surface indicates potential positive momentum.




Bearish Case: Legal challenges, insider selling, and high implied volatility suggest potential downward pressure. Historical mean reversion and market uncertainty further amplify downside risks.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Positive Earnings Surprise: 40% chance increases stock price.
  • Legal Settlements: 30% chance causing temporary dips.
  • Regulatory Changes: 30% potential for volatility.




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May 25, 2025


HCA Healthcare Forecast

HCA        HCA Healthcare











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HCA



O Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   O  Realty Income (0.77)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.71)


YCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCL  ProShares Ultra Yen (0.67)


BAX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAX  Baxter International (0.67)


SNY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNY  Sanofi (0.66)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HCA



NUVB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NUVB  Nuvation Bio (0.0)


CAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAT  Caterpillar (0.0)


SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (0.0)


CC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CC  Chemours (0.01)


DOMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOMO  Domo (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HCA



FSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSK  FS KKR (-0.67)


MNSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNSO  MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.68)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (-0.72)


PCOR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PCOR  Procore (-0.72)


UUP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UUP  Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bullish (-0.76)









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