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HCA Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: Strong growth in outpatient services, emerging strategic partnerships, and positive earnings surprises could enhance HCA’s market valuation, supported by historical resilience amid challenges.



Bearish Case: Ongoing legal challenges and reputational risks from the data breach could suppress HCA’s stock performance, compounded by declining recent price trends and strong bearish sentiment.



Potential Outcomes:
  1. Favorable resolution of legal challenges (60% chance)
  2. Continued growth in outpatient services (70% chance)
  3. Significant legal penalties impact earnings (50% chance)
  4. Market volatility leads to further price declines (60% chance)



Trading Oracle: Consider initiating a bullish strategy via a call debit spread by buying $355 calls and selling $360 calls, targeting bullish momentum. Given the higher-than-market implied volatility, this structure has a strong potential return with an attractive risk-reward profile.


November 22, 2024


HCA Healthcare Forecast

HCA        HCA Healthcare

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Assets that tend to move strongly with HCA


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KKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KKR  KKR (0.91)


DVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVA  DaVita (0.91)


CCEP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCEP  Coca-Cola European (0.91)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HCA


TMF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMF  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.0)


IVR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVR  Invesco Mortgage (-0.0)


EXPD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXPD  Expeditors International Of Washington (-0.0)


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (-0.0)


ACN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ACN  Accenture (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HCA


OCSL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OCSL  Oaktree Specialty Lending (-0.86)


CAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAR  Avis Budget (-0.86)


HTZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HTZ  Hertz Global Holdings (-0.88)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.88)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.89)







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