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HCA Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: HCA’s resilience in financial performance and growth in technology partnerships strengthen its potential. With flat implied volatility and a bullish risk skew, HCA is poised for steady growth amidst healthcare demand.



Bearish Case: HCA faces substantial risks from ongoing litigation, high debt levels, and increased operational costs. The prevalent mean-reverting price action suggests limited upside amid financial and regulatory challenges.



Potential Outcomes:
  • HCA achieves moderate growth (50%).
  • Litigation negatively impacts stock (30%).
  • Partnerships boost earnings short-term (20%).



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April 30, 2025


HCA Healthcare Forecast

HCA        HCA Healthcare

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HCA


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.78)


UL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UL  Unilever (0.76)


TYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TYD  Direxion Daily 7-10 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (0.75)


MFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFA  MFA Financial (0.71)


CL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CL  Colgate-Palmolive (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HCA


TW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TW  Tradeweb Markets (-0.0)


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (-0.0)


MMYT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MMYT  MakeMyTrip (0.01)


SBGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBGI  Sinclair Broadcast Group (-0.01)


GKOS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GKOS  Glaukos (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HCA


PCOR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PCOR  Procore (-0.71)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (-0.72)


MNSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNSO  MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.72)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.74)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (-0.74)







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