HCA Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: HCA's consistent revenue growth, driven by increased patient volumes and strategic expansions, indicates resilience. Investments in technology and healthcare services position it well for future growth.




Bearish Case: High debt levels, ongoing litigation, and potential regulatory changes present significant financial and reputational risks, which could impact stock performance negatively.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 60% chance of consistent growth through tech and partnerships.
  • 30% litigation-related financial impact.
  • 40% risk from regulatory changes affecting operations.




Trading Oracle:

Adopt a Bullish Short Volatility strategy by selling $310 puts and buying $300 puts. Leverage higher-than-market implied volatility and Helium's positive edge to capitalize on market stability. This strategy, with a 67% profit chance, aligns well with current volatility data, anticipating stable HCA prices.



March 27, 2025


HCA Healthcare Forecast

HCA        HCA Healthcare











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HCA



XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.8)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.79)


MFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFA  MFA Financial (0.74)


IFF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IFF  International Flavors & Fragrances (0.74)


PHM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHM  PulteGroup (0.73)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HCA



CHX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHX  ChampionX (0.0)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.0)


ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.0)


SBGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SBGI  Sinclair Broadcast Group (-0.01)


DPST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DPST  Direxion Daily Regional Banks Bull 3X Shares (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HCA



AAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAL  American Airlines (-0.65)


BB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BB  BlackBerry (-0.67)


GTLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLS  Chart Industries (-0.67)


MNSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MNSO  MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.73)


ASAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASAN  Asana (-0.74)









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