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HE Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:


Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: HE could surge as ongoing legal issues are resolved, attracting institutional investors. This potential recovery is supported by improving fundamentals and strong dividend yield.



Bearish Case: Continued investor skepticism may drive HE lower due to unresolved legal issues, leading to further price depreciation amidst high implied volatility.



Potential Outcomes:

1. (40%) Legal issues resolved, leading to price recovery.

2. (30%) Continued bearish sentiment pushes price lower.

3. (20%) Unexpected positive catalyst boosts confidence.

4. (10%) Market downturn exacerbates existing challenges.



Trading Oracle: Initiate a bullish debit spread by buying the HE $10.50 call and selling the $11.50 call, optimizing for high implied volatility. Target a 30-day expiration to capitalize on potential price recovery while managing downside risk. This offers a high reward-risk ratio with a strong likelihood of profit.


November 15, 2024


Hawaiian Electric Industries Forecast

HE        Hawaiian Electric Industries

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Assets that tend to move strongly with HE


FLGT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLGT  Fulgent Genetics (0.88)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (0.81)


CNXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNXC  Concentrix (0.78)


QS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   QS  QuantumScape (0.77)


CHPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHPT  ChargePoint (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HE


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (-0.0)


W Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   W  Wayfair (0.0)


INCY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INCY  Incyte (0.0)


ABT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ABT  Abbott Laboratories (0.0)


RGTI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RGTI  Rigetti Computing (-0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HE


COPX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COPX  Global X Funds - Global X Copper Miners (-0.72)


AMZN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMZN  Amazon.com (-0.73)


DELL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DELL  Dell (-0.74)


DAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAL  Delta Air Lines (-0.76)


VRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRT  Vertiv (-0.78)







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