HIG Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: HIG shows strong historical returns, favorable long-term growth, and increased call volume, suggesting bullish sentiment remains persistent.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility and flat price action might indicate overvaluation. Potential economic uncertainties could trigger corrections or increased volatility.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 45% chance of price holding around $125.
  • 30% chance of correction to $115.
  • 20% chance of climbing above $130.
  • 5% chance of dropping below $110 due to macroeconomic factors.




Trading Oracle:
Execute Bullish Short Volatility. Bulky options desktop action with high implied volatility offers a premium selling edge, given positive delta offset by OOTM puts. More details here.



May 03, 2025


Hartford Financial Services Forecast

HIG        Hartford Financial Services











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HIG



FNF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FNF  Fidelity National Financial (0.95)


CB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CB  Chubb (0.93)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (0.89)


ALL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALL  Allstate (0.87)


SPYD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPYD  SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HIG



HASI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HASI  Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure (-0.01)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (-0.01)


MFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFA  MFA Financial (-0.02)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (0.02)


STLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STLD  Steel Dynamics (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HIG



CGC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CGC  Canopy Growth (-0.71)


PTEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTEN  Patterson-UTI Energy (-0.71)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.73)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.74)


NFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NFE  New Fortress Energy (-0.84)









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