HIMX Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: With HIMX trading at $9.65, 81.7% up from 90 days ago, positive sentiment is bolstered by upcoming 3D sensing and automotive tech advancements. Implied volatility differences suggest market optimism, supporting further upward momentum.




Bearish Case: Despite recent gains, HIMX's high implied volatility and prior struggles underline persistent skepticism. Competitive pressures and potential product underperformance may stall growth, risking a price correction.




Potential Outcomes:

1) 50% chance HIMX leverages tech momentum for +10% growth.

2) 35% risk of volatility-driven stagnation.

3) 15% probability of underperformance causing -10% decline.




Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish short volatility strategy: sell 2 $9 strike puts, buy 7 $7 strike puts, expiring in 10 days. Capitalize on mean-reversion and implied volatility, aiming for an opportunity with a 16% return and high probability of profit.



February 12, 2025










Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HIMX



ENVX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENVX  Enovix (0.73)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (0.72)


URBN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   URBN  Urban Outfitters (0.69)


WRBY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WRBY  Warby Parker (0.69)


MAIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAIN  Main Street (0.64)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HIMX



FSLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSLR  First Solar (0.0)


PAYC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PAYC  Paycom Software (0.0)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.0)


KRG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KRG  Kite Realty (-0.01)


LABD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LABD  Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HIMX



KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.67)


GIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIS  General Mills (-0.68)


DNUT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DNUT  Krispy Kreme (-0.73)


BC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BC  Brunswick (-0.73)


IOVA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IOVA  Iovance Biotherapeutics (-0.76)









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