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HMY Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: HMY’s strong operational improvements, combined with a favorable outlook in gold prices, support potential growth. Enhanced earning potential via increased scalability and cross-chain innovations boosts long-term prospects.



Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and South Africa’s infrastructural challenges persist, potentially undermining HMY’s stability. High implied volatility suggests market uncertainty, possibly leading to unfavorable price corrections.



Potential Outcomes:

1. Gold price increase (35%): Drives HMY upward.

2. Geopolitical unrest (25%): Negatively impacts operations.

3. Institutional interest (20%): Sparks price rise.

4. Currency fluctuations (20%): Affect earnings. Adjusted for recent global economic shifts.


April 30, 2025


Harmony Gold Mining Forecast

HMY        Harmony Gold Mining

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HMY


JNUG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JNUG  Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (0.89)


AGI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGI  Alamos Gold (0.82)


EQX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EQX  Equinox Gold (0.8)


DUK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DUK  Duke Energy (0.71)


EXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXC  Exelon (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HMY


SHEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHEL  Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.0)


RPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RPM  RPM International (-0.0)


AX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AX  Axos Financial (-0.0)


PHG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PHG  Koninklijke Philips (0.01)


MFA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MFA  MFA Financial (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HMY


IPGP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IPGP  IPG Photonics (-0.57)


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (-0.6)


WNC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WNC  Wabash National (-0.62)


M Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   M  Macy's (-0.63)


FUN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FUN  Cedar Fair (-0.64)







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