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HSBC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: HSBC's strategic pivot to Asia and cost-cutting initiatives, supported by a smooth implied volatility structure, boost anticipated profitability and growth prospects.

Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility and regulatory difficulties, coupled with recent IT outages, signal heightened risk, threatening HSBC's immediate stability.

Potential Outcomes: Strategic Asian growth fuels revenue (60%).
Regulatory hurdles affect performance (35%).
Technical improvements stabilize operations (20%).

March 22, 2025

HSBC Forecast

HSBC HSBC

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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DB Deutsche (0.82)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HSBC

LLY Lilly(Eli) (0.0)

UNH Unitedhealth (0.0)

CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.0)

TDOC Teladoc Health (0.0)

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Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HSBC

RRR Red Rock Resorts (-0.75)

GES Guess (-0.77)

CAL Caleres (-0.78)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.78)

NBR Nabors Industries (-0.78)

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