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HSBC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: HSBC's strategic pivot to Asia and cost-cutting initiatives, supported by a smooth implied volatility structure, boost anticipated profitability and growth prospects.

Bearish Case: Elevated implied volatility and regulatory difficulties, coupled with recent IT outages, signal heightened risk, threatening HSBC's immediate stability.

Potential Outcomes: Strategic Asian growth fuels revenue (60%).
Regulatory hurdles affect performance (35%).
Technical improvements stabilize operations (20%).

March 22, 2025

HSBC Forecast

HSBC HSBC

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HSBC

BBAR BBVA Argentina (0.85)

V Visa (0.84)

MAIN Main Street (0.83)

SUPV Grupo Supervielle S.A. (0.83)

RL Ralph Lauren (0.82)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HSBC

BA Boeing (-0.0)

ESTC Elastic (0.01)

LU Lufax Holding Ltd (0.01)

ROST Ross Stores (0.01)

BBWI Bath & Body Works (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HSBC

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (-0.75)

JOE St. Joe (-0.76)

GES Guess (-0.78)

KOLD ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.78)

TXT Textron (-0.79)

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