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HSBC Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: HSBC's strategic focus on Asian markets, combined with cost-cutting and technological innovation, supports potential growth. Historical return surfaces suggest longer-term positive returns.

Bearish Case: Implied volatility backwardation and increased put volume signal potential market apprehension. Regulatory challenges and global uncertainty could constrain growth.

Potential Outcomes: 60% chance of successful strategic Asian expansion fueling growth. 30% risk from regulatory challenges. 10% neutral status quo in volatile markets.

July 05, 2025

HSBC Forecast

HSBC HSBC

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with HSBC

TPR Tapestry (0.93)

SAP Sap SE (0.93)

CRK Comstock Resources (0.92)

LRN Stride (0.92)

VRSN Verisign (0.92)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HSBC

KKR KKR (-0.01)

ABNB Airbnb (0.01)

SPXL Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 3X Shares (-0.01)

BX Blackstone (-0.02)

EA Electronic Arts (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HSBC

AEO American Eagle Outfitters (-0.89)

WOLF Wolfspeed (-0.89)

CAG Conagra Brands (-0.9)

REGN Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (-0.91)

CAL Caleres (-0.91)

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