HTZ Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: HTZ's strategic pivot to electric vehicles and partnerships may bolster future revenue streams. Reduced debts and potential favorable legal resolutions could improve market perception and valuation.




Bearish Case: Persistently high implied volatility and poor historical returns reflect inevitable market skepticism. High debt and operational challenges post-bankruptcy remain serious concerns amidst still-volatile market conditions.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Further decline due to market skepticism (50%)
  • Stagnation with no catalyst (30%)
  • Recovery on positive news, e.g., legal wins or strategic success (20%)




Trading Oracle: Leverage bearish credit spreads by selling HTZ $4.5 call options and buying $5.5 call options, expiring in about 25 days. High implied volatility supports premium decay strategies with 75% probability of profit, targeting a 24% return. Aligns with consistent bearish outlook and avoids aggressive risk exposure.



January 28, 2025


Hertz Global Holdings Forecast

HTZ        Hertz Global Holdings











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TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.88)


TREX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TREX  TREX Co. (0.85)


FRSH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRSH  Freshworks (0.84)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.83)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HTZ



ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (0.0)


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (0.01)


HIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIVE  HIVE Blockchain (-0.02)


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (-0.03)


SRPT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRPT  Sarepta Therapeutics (-0.03)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HTZ



PSFE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSFE  Paysafe Limited (-0.79)


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (-0.8)


KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.81)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.83)


INSG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INSG  Inseego (-0.84)









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