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HXL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: With strategic industry positioning, Hexcel can capitalize on aerospace and advanced materials growth, potentially driving long-term gains.

Bearish Case: The flat implied volatility and negative price momentum suggest challenges in maintaining growth amidst competitive pressures.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Advanced materials demand boosts HXL profitability (35%).

2. Sector decline impacts HXL performance (25%).

3. Price remains stable (30%). Unexpected volatility arises (10%).

Trading Oracle: Implement a bearish short volatility strategy. Sell 2 $65.0 call options, buy 3 $70.0 call options expiring in ~44 days. This strategy harnesses low volatility and offers a 77% probability of profit with a 27% potential return, leveraging current market conditions and historical edges.

February 06, 2025

Hexcel Forecast

HXL Hexcel

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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CRSR Corsair Gaming (0.75)

SYNA Synaptics (0.74)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to HXL

ET Energy Transfer LP (0.0)

TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific (-0.0)

PTLO Portillos (0.01)

PLTK Playtika (0.01)

LCID Lucid (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against HXL

KRG Kite Realty (-0.68)

PTGX Protagonist Therapeutics (-0.68)

SO Southern (-0.68)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.7)

VXX iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.71)

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