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ICL Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: ICL's potential partnership and LFP plant construction in Spain highlight growth via increased EV demand. Historical returns indicate positive prospects for short holding periods.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and historical returns suggest potential challenges. Economic slowdown and regulatory shifts could hinder demand for ICL's products.

Potential Outcomes:

1. EV market drives demand (60%);

2. Regulatory changes impact ICL (20%);

3. Economic downturn affects demand (20%).

Trading Oracle: Initiate long debit spreads with a bullish outlook on ICL using options expiring in 06/2025, focusing on current low prices and high implied volatility. Target a 6-12 month horizon to capture positive EV market sentiment and potential rebounds. Optimal entry during volatility spikes enhances profit potential.

February 14, 2025

ICL Forecast

ICL ICL

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with ICL

ASAN Asana (0.87)

CRNC Cerence (0.87)

FRSH Freshworks (0.85)

RLX RLX Technology (0.82)

FSTR L.B. Foster Co. (0.79)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ICL

NRG NRG Energy (-0.0)

PSX Phillips 66 (-0.0)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (0.0)

CAL Caleres (0.0)

IOVA Iovance Biotherapeutics (0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ICL

PI Impinj (-0.71)

EIX Edison International (-0.74)

OLED Universal Display (-0.75)

TMDX Transmedics (-0.75)

IFF International Flavors & Fragrances (-0.78)

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