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IGV Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: Strong historical returns combined with upcoming positive earnings can drive IGV prices higher. Market volatility is expected to remain suppressed, indicating potential for upward movement.

Bearish Case: Increased regulatory scrutiny and potential tech disruptions may weigh heavily on IGV, alongside a flattening volatilty curve that suggests caution in the market sentiment.

Potential Outcomes:

1. 65% chance of moderate recovery towards $110 driven by earnings.

2. 20% chance of sideways movement around $101.

3. 15% chance of sharp decline below $95 due to regulatory challenges.

Trading Oracle: Execute a long call spread by buying 1 $102 call and selling 1 $110 call, expiring in 35 days. Leverage the bullish sentiment with high odds of profit (80%) as volatility remains low, yielding a potential 15% return with minimal downside risk.

November 17, 2024

BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector Forecast

IGV BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IGV

IGM BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Expanded Tech Sector (0.94)

IYT BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares U.S. Transportation (0.88)

GL Globe Life (0.84)

FWRD Forward Air (0.84)

AMPH Amphastar Pharmaceuticals (0.8)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IGV

IHI BTC iShares U.S. Medical (-0.0)

HIMX Himax (-0.0)

URNM North Shore Global Uranium Mining (-0.0)

APAM Artisan Partners Asset (0.01)

CIM Chimera Investment (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IGV

FANG Diamondback Energy (-0.76)

EGY VAALCO Energy (-0.77)

CVE Cenovus Energy (-0.77)

SHEL Shell Plc - ADR (Representing) (-0.79)

GTE Gran Tierra Energy (-0.8)

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