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IJH Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: The moderate increase in call volume and bullish risk suggests potential upward price movement. Historical return likelihood indicates moderate recovery potential.

Bearish Case: Implied volatility remains elevated, suggesting market skepticism. Historical declines and recent flat action point to potential downside risks.

Potential Outcomes: Market Recovery (35%) - Positive economic indicators.
Market Correction (30%) - Persisting economic challenges.
Stagnation (20%) - Extended flat price trend.
Increased Volatility (15%) - Data surprises impact prices.

Trading Oracle: Given the elevated implied volatility and the market’s uncertainty, implement the Bearish Long Volatility strategy. This capitalizes on potential downside while benefiting from premium increases due to volatility spikes.

May 03, 2025

BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap Forecast

IJH BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap

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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IJH

COLD Americold Realty (0.0)

MPWR Monolithic Power System (0.0)

XRX Xerox (0.01)

CVE Cenovus Energy (-0.01)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IJH

WPC W. P. Carey (-0.44)

KO Coca-Cola (-0.47)

EC Ecopetrol SA (-0.52)

EWW iShares MSCI Mexico (-0.55)

UDN Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bearish (-0.7)

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