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ITA Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Stable demand in aerospace and improved earnings reports could drive ITA closer to its historical highs, potentially exceeding $160 in the near term.



Bearish Case: Continued geopolitical tensions and potential economic downturns may lead to stagnation or declines, keeping ITA around current levels or below $140.



Potential Outcomes:
  • Positive earnings beat (40%): ~5% jump.
  • Stagnation due to mixed signals (30%): ~2% flat.
  • Downturn from geopolitical issues (30%): ~5% drop.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread: buy ITA $150 calls and sell $155 calls to benefit from potential volatility increase and upward movement. Alternatively, bearish strategy: buy $140 puts and sell $135 puts if anticipating downturn. Both approaches offer strong risk-reward dynamics, aligning with market sentiment.


December 12, 2024


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ERJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ERJ  Embraer (0.97)


COOP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COOP  Mr. Cooper (0.97)


FTAI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FTAI  Fortress Transportation and Infrastructure Investors (0.96)


IWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IWD  iShares Russell 1000 Value (0.96)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to ITA


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (-0.0)


BHVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BHVN  Biohaven Pharmaceutical (0.01)


S Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   S  Sprint (-0.01)


SRRK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SRRK  Scholar Rock (0.01)


ARKK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARKK  ARK Innovation (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against ITA


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (-0.91)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.92)


CABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CABA  Cabaletta Bio (-0.92)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (-0.92)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.95)







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