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IWD Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: IWD's focus on value stocks and rising call option volume suggest upside potential. Historical performance indicates resilience, aligning with improved market sentiment and potential economic stability.

Bearish Case: Heightened implied volatility and mean-reverting price action coupled with economic uncertainties signal downside risks. Sector concentration in financials and energy might underperform amid market volatility.

Potential Outcomes: Stagnant price movement (55%)
Moderate gains of 5-10% (25%)
Decline of 5% due to economic factors (20%)

Trading Oracle: Deploy a bull call spread: buy IWD $194 call and sell $198 call expiring May 2025. This leverages potential moderate gains with a hedged approach, capitalizing on high call volume and subdued market volatility.

January 30, 2025

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IWD iShares Russell 1000 Value

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with IWD

VTV Vanguard Value (0.99)

IWR BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.98)

UNM Unum (0.94)

UDOW ProShares UltraPro Dow30 (0.94)

TT Trane (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to IWD

AZN Astrazeneca (0.0)

UVXY ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures (0.0)

RIOT Riot Blockchain (-0.01)

HCC Warrior Met Coal (-0.01)

AMC AMC Entertainment (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against IWD

COTY Coty (-0.83)

SHLS Shoals (-0.83)

IEP Icahn (-0.83)

APLS Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.84)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.93)

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* Disclaimer: Nothing on this website constitutes investment advice, performance data or any recommendation that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Helium Trades is not responsible in any way for the accuracy of any model predictions or price data. Any mention of a particular security and related prediction data is not a recommendation to buy or sell that security. Investments in securities involve the risk of loss. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Helium Trades is not responsible for any of your investment decisions, you should consult a financial expert before engaging in any transaction.