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JNJ Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: JNJ’s strong pharmaceutical pipeline and consistent dividend growth support potential upside. Ongoing R&D in oncology and immunology may drive revenue growth, and the recent spin-off could unlock shareholder value.

Bearish Case: Lingering legal challenges, particularly with talc lawsuits, continue to pose significant financial risks. Implied volatility structures suggest elevated uncertainty, indicating potential for downside pressure if legal resolutions fall through.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Legal resolution limits damage: 40%;

2. Continued legal setbacks: 45%;

3. Strong MedTech and pharma growth: 55%;

4. Spin-off value realization: 35%.

May 15, 2025

Johnson & Johnson Forecast

JNJ Johnson & Johnson

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