JNJ Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: JNJ's strong pharmaceutical pipeline and innovation in immunology and oncology underpin future growth, with potential revenue tailwinds from new drug approvals.




Bearish Case: Legal challenges, particularly talc lawsuits, persist, posing significant financial risks and potentially damaging JNJ's reputation, impacting stock sentiment.




Potential Outcomes: FDA approvals boost revenue (70%). Talc lawsuits create financial headwinds (60%). Strategic re-focus post-spinoff enhances growth (50%).




Trading Oracle: Embrace a tactical bullish approach with debit spreads. Buy $150 calls and sell $155 calls expiring in March, leveraging current backwardation and potential volatility drop. Optimal to capitalize on expected near-term volatility and potential regulatory news.



January 22, 2025


Johnson & Johnson Forecast

JNJ        Johnson & Johnson











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