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L Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: L's strategic expansions and historical mean-reverting trends suggest potential upside, supported by low price-to-book ratio and positive social sentiment Helium.

Bearish Case: High put option volume and market uncertainties, such as potential oversupply and economic risks, hint at downside pressure on Loews' performance Helium Helium.

Potential Outcomes:

1) Successful expansions boost market share (50%).

2) Market oversaturation limits growth (30%).

3) Economic downturn affects occupancy (20%) Helium Helium.

Trading Oracle: Implement credit spreads (short volatility) on L due to current low implied volatility and mean-reverting trends . Focus on near-term options (1-3 months) to capitalize on time decay and volatility contraction. Expect positive alpha with careful risk management.

January 21, 2025

Loews Forecast

L Loews

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with L

UNM Unum (0.94)

ZION Zions Bancorporation N.A (0.92)

IWR BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Russell Mid-Cap (0.92)

ORI Old Republic International (0.92)

EVRG Evergy (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to L

BB BlackBerry (-0.01)

FXY Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen (0.01)

DELL Dell (-0.01)

ING ING Groep (-0.02)

DNN Denison Mines (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against L

NEP NextEra Energy (-0.81)

EL Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.81)

COTY Coty (-0.81)

IEP Icahn (-0.84)

SPXS Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.87)

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