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LABD Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Volatility peaks in Q1 2025 could drive LABD higher, aligning with current high implied volatility, which suggests potential for upward momentum amid biotech market distress.



Bearish Case: Prolonged downward trends and current high volatility signal potential further declines for LABD, building on negative mean-reversion patterns and sector trends disfavoring leveraged inverse ETFs.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 30% chance of volatility spike leading to upside correction.
  • 50% chance of sustained bearish trend due to mean reversion.
  • 20% chance of neutral consolidation aligning with current volatility.



Trading Oracle: Execute a bearish debit spread by buying $7.0 puts and selling $6.5 puts, expiring in ~10 days. This short-term strategy offers a potential 898% return and capitalizes on predicted volatility spikes and prevailing negative trends. With option trading volume peaking, anticipate significant movement.


February 13, 2025


Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares Forecast

LABD        Direxion Daily S&P Biotech Bear 3X Shares

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LABD


CORN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CORN  Teucrium Corn (0.79)


WBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WBA  Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.74)


WST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WST  West Pharmaceutical Services (0.72)


AAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AAP  Advance Auto Parts (0.71)


DBC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBC  Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking (0.7)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LABD


CQP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CQP  Cheniere Energy (0.0)


WHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WHR  Whirlpool (-0.0)


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (0.01)


NET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NET  Cloudflare (-0.02)


ONTO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ONTO  Onto Innovation (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LABD


KBH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KBH  KB Home (-0.83)


ICE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICE  Intercontinental Exchange (-0.86)


VNQ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VNQ  Vanguard Real Estate Index (-0.87)


RWR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RWR  SPDR DJ Wilshire REIT (-0.87)


PTGX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTGX  Protagonist Therapeutics (-0.89)







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