LAD Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: LAD's strategic acquisitions and robust market sentiment could drive shares beyond $400. Institutional investments signal confidence, and favorable historical return trends support potential upside.




Bearish Case: Supply chain disruptions and macroeconomic pressures may hinder LAD's growth trajectory, leading to a decline potentially below $350, as reflected in high implied volatility and increased put volumes.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Growth to $400 (30% chance): Driven by institutional support and strong earnings.
  • Stabilization around $360 (25% chance): Market sentiment sustained at current levels.
  • Decline to $340 (20% chance): Economic pressures burden performance.
  • Drop below $320 (15% chance): Sustained negative trends escalate volatility.
  • Unexpected rally towards $450 (10% chance): Strong earnings or acquisition news boosts investor confidence.




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December 21, 2024


Lithia Motors Forecast

LAD        Lithia Motors











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Anticorrelated Assets

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