LC Forecast




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: The bullish case rests on positive earnings forecasts, strong positioning against competitors, and favorable market sentiment. Historical trends show solid upward potential if these conditions persist.




Bearish Case: Despite some positive indicators, key risks include ongoing competitive pressure and possible regulatory setbacks. Historical volatility suggests potential for downside volatility if market sentiment shifts unfavorably.




Potential Outcomes:

1) Positive earnings report improving stock price (35%);

2) Increased competition negatively impacting growth (30%);

3) Market shifts causing notable fluctuations (25%);

4) Stability without significant changes (10%).




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread strategy by buying LC 15.00 C and selling LC 17.00 C, capitalizing on volatility. Monitor for earnings or market news that could trigger movement. Given high historical volatilities, this approach targets upside in a skewed risk-reward profile with a high probability of profit.



November 05, 2024


LendingClub Forecast

LC        LendingClub











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LC



COMP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COMP  Compass (0.89)


SNV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SNV  Synovus Financial (0.87)


MLI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MLI  Mueller Industries (0.85)


PBI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PBI  Pitney Bowes (0.85)


HBAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HBAN  Huntington Bancshares (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LC



GIII Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIII  G-III Apparel (-0.01)


TMF Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TMF  Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares (-0.01)


TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (0.01)


TRMD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TRMD  TORM (-0.01)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LC



DG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DG  Dollar General (-0.72)


APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.72)


DLTR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DLTR  Dollar Tree (-0.74)


FIVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FIVE  Five Below (-0.76)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.78)









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