Bullish Case: Expansion into new markets and unique operating model suggest growth potential. Insider ownership shows aligned management interests, promoting company success.


Bearish Case: Insider sales, reduced earnings forecasts, and recent price declines highlight market skepticism and potential downward pressure on the stock.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Price rebounds: 40% chance, buoyed by market expansion.

2) Steady decline continues: 35% chance, due to insider sales.

3) Volatility spike: 25% chance, ahead of earnings.


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April 17, 2024


LGI Homes Forecast

LGIH        LGI Homes
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: RANDOM (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with LGIH



MTW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [MTW]  Manitowoc Co. (0.83)


RDFN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [RDFN]  Redfin (0.83)


U Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [U]  Unity Software (0.82)


KLIC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [KLIC]  Kulicke & Soffa Industries (0.81)


BA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BA]  Boeing (0.81)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to LGIH



IR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [IR]  Ingersoll-Rand (0.01)


COIN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [COIN]  Coinbase (-0.01)


MSFT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [MSFT]  Microsoft (-0.01)


QUAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [QUAL]  BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor (0.01)


CLH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CLH]  Clean Harbors (0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against LGIH



SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [SU]  Suncor Energy (-0.57)


USO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [USO]  United States Commodity Funds (-0.58)


BNO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BNO]  United States Commodity Funds LLC - United States Brent Crude Oil (-0.6)


OBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [OBE]  Obsidian Energy (-0.61)


BJ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [BJ]  BJ's Wholesale Club (-0.62)





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