LI Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Li Auto's robust demand and innovation in EVs suggest strong growth potential. Continued expansion in China with advanced tech and positive sentiment supports a bullish case.




Bearish Case: Intense competition, margin pressure from price wars, and macroeconomic headwinds may constrain Li Auto's profitability, posing risks to its growth trajectory.




Potential Outcomes:
  • New model success boosting market share (60%).
  • Margin pressure from competition (55%).
  • Expansion-driven sales increase (50%).



May 20, 2025










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BABA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BABA  Alibaba (0.88)


SATS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SATS  EchoStar (0.74)


BMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BMO  Bank of Montreal (0.74)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LI



VOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOD  Vodafone (0.02)


PDD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PDD  Pinduoduo (-0.02)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (0.02)


DXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DXC  DXC Technology (-0.02)


CRGY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRGY  Crescent Energy Company - (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LI



AMCX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMCX  AMC Networks (-0.66)


NVO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NVO  Novo Nordisk (-0.66)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.68)


CAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CAL  Caleres (-0.68)


DOOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOOO  BRP (-0.68)









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