LI Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Li Auto's robust demand and innovation in EVs suggest strong growth potential. Continued expansion in China with advanced tech and positive sentiment supports a bullish case.




Bearish Case: Intense competition, margin pressure from price wars, and macroeconomic headwinds may constrain Li Auto's profitability, posing risks to its growth trajectory.




Potential Outcomes:
  • New model success boosting market share (60%).
  • Margin pressure from competition (55%).
  • Expansion-driven sales increase (50%).



May 20, 2025


Li Auto Forecast

LI        Li Auto











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