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LNC Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: LNC's strategic partnership with Bain Capital and its low price-to-book ratio suggest potential for recovery. Increasing call trading volume and implied volatility imply bullish sentiment.



Bearish Case: High debt levels and historical underperformance undermine confidence in recovery. Increased put volume and ongoing market skepticism suggest potential for further decline.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 40% chance of recovery driven by strategic partnerships and mean reversion.
  • 35% chance of continued underperformance due to historical trends.
  • 25% chance of market disruption due to external economic events.


April 19, 2025


Lincoln National Forecast

LNC        Lincoln National

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LNC


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (0.83)


USAU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   USAU  U.S. Gold (0.81)


IPI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IPI  Intrepid Potash (0.78)


BK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BK  Bank Of New York Mellon (0.78)


JPM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   JPM  JPMorgan Chase (0.77)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LNC


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.0)


ICHR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ICHR  Ichor (-0.01)


BCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BCC  Boise Cascade (-0.01)


ALLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALLY  Ally Financial (0.01)


HXL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HXL  Hexcel (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LNC


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.56)


DG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DG  Dollar General (-0.57)


ADM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADM  Archer Daniels Midland (-0.58)


XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (-0.61)


MUR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUR  Murphy Oil (-0.63)







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