LNC Forecast + Trading Strategies




Price Forecast:


Bearish<->Bullish




Bullish Case: LNC's low price-to-book ratio (0.6) suggests undervaluation. Recent increased call volumes and implied volatility indicate market confidence, potentially driven by upcoming strategic announcements.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility signals market uncertainty. Ongoing concerns about historic performance and potential legal challenges could lead to further declines, sustaining fear among investors.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 35% chance LNC rebounds due to strategic investments and bullish sentiment.
  • 40% chance of continued historical underperformance impacting stock prices negatively.
  • 25% chance market volatility and external factors exacerbate price decreases.




Trading Oracle: Position for potential upside by implementing a bullish debit spread with $35 calls, selling $37.50 calls for January 2025 expiry to leverage current volatility, targeting minimal time decay exposure with high reward/risk dynamics. Maintain a favorable edge given the rate of volatility and bullish expectations.



December 05, 2024


Lincoln National Forecast

LNC        Lincoln National











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LNC



BAC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BAC  Bank Of America (0.91)


EQH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EQH  Equitable (0.9)


HOOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HOOD  Robinhood Markets (0.87)


HIMS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMS  Hims & Hers Health (0.85)


SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.84)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LNC



VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (0.0)


ARR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ARR  ARMOUR Residential REIT (-0.0)


UCTT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UCTT  Ultra Clean Hldgs (-0.01)


ST Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ST  Sensata (0.01)


DBX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DBX  Dropbox (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LNC



APLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   APLS  Apellis Pharmaceuticals (-0.76)


XRAY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRAY  DENTSPLY Sirona (-0.76)


EWZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EWZ  iShares MSCI Brazil (-0.78)


SPXS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXS  Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X Shares (-0.82)


SDS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SDS  ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (-0.82)









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