LYB Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Strong fundamentals, positive institutional backing, and flat short-term volatility support a potential price recovery for LYB.




Bearish Case: Economic headwinds and regulatory risks persist, coupled with elevated implied volatility suggesting potential downside.




Potential Outcomes:
  • Upside (40%): Institutional backing supports upward movement.
  • Downside (35%): Economic factors weigh heavily.
  • Stable (20%): Mixed signals lead to neutrality.
  • Volatility (5%): Unexpected events cause swings.




Trading Oracle:
Gameplan: Engage in a Bullish Short Volatility strategy. Sell ATM put options, buy OOTM put options. The flat term structure and VI discrepancies provide an attractive risk/reward with high probability of premium retention.



March 16, 2025


LyondellBasell Industries Forecast

LYB        LyondellBasell Industries











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with LYB



DOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DOW  Dow (0.97)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.96)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.95)


CNI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNI  Canadian National Railway (0.95)


PSX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PSX  Phillips 66 (0.93)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to LYB



IR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IR  Ingersoll-Rand (0.0)


PTLO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PTLO  Portillos (-0.01)


BXMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BXMT  Blackstone Mortgage (-0.01)


RARE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RARE  Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical (0.02)


ESTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ESTC  Elastic (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against LYB



TGTX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TGTX  TG Therapeutics (-0.9)


VIRT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIRT  Virtu Financial (-0.9)


EAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EAT  Brinker International (-0.91)


SAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAP  Sap SE (-0.91)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.93)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with LYB


 Ask any question about LYB!