MBI Forecast


Bullish Case: MBI's price stabilization, Helium volatility consistently higher than the market's, and largely flat term structure imply controlled volatility and potential for near-term growth.


Bearish Case: Long-term decline in price, significant historical losses over multiple holding periods, and persistently high long-term implied volatility suggest uncertainty and sustained negative trends.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Colombian economic growth stabilizes, MBI prices rise slightly (50%).

2. Political instability impacts negatively, further dropping prices (30%).

3. High volatility leads to trading opportunities (20%).


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April 30, 2024


MBIA Forecast

MBI        MBIA
Price Forecast: BULLISH    Price Action: RANDOM (?)











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Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to MBI



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MCHP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MCHP  Microchip Technology (-0.0)


REAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   REAL  Therealreal (-0.0)


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Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against MBI



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ORN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORN  Orion (-0.73)


FRO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FRO  Frontline (-0.73)


DHT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DHT  DHT (-0.74)


STNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STNG  Scorpio Tankers (-0.75)


MBI News over Time





Click points to explore news by date. News sentiment ranges from -10 (very negative) to +10 (very positive) where 0 is neutral.






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