MCHP Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: MCHP's strong presence in IoT and automotive, coupled with ongoing expansion and dividend growth, positions it well for growth in a recovering semiconductor sector.




Bearish Case: Persistent supply chain issues, recent price declines, high put volume, and market volatility suggest downward pressure on MCHP, potentially exacerbated by increased competition.




Potential Outcomes: -50% chance of price stabilization due to market recovery. 30% chance of price decline stemming from ongoing volatility. 20% probability of growth driven by innovations and strategic expansions.




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February 14, 2025


Microchip Technology Forecast

MCHP        Microchip Technology











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Assets that tend to move strongly with MCHP



VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.91)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (0.9)


DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (0.89)


ENTG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ENTG  Entegris (0.87)


BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (0.87)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MCHP



VOYA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOYA  Voya Financial (0.0)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.0)


LLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   LLY  Lilly(Eli) (0.01)


XLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLB  Active Trust - Materials Select Sector SPDR (0.02)


SU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SU  Suncor Energy (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MCHP



OPFI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OPFI  OppFi (-0.85)


WH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WH  Wyndham Hotels & Resorts (-0.85)


FINV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FINV  FinVolution (-0.85)


ADP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADP  Automatic Data Processing (-0.88)


NOW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   NOW  ServiceNow (-0.89)









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