MFC Forecast + Trading Strategies



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: MFC's solid performance in Asian markets and strong call option volume indicate potential growth. Positive fundamental factors and strong returns history support this outlook.




Bearish Case: High implied volatility suggests market uncertainty. Interest rate sensitivities and regulatory pressures pose downside risks, coupled with recent price declines.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Moderate growth (40%) driven by stable fundamentals.

2. Stagnation (30%) amid mixed market signals.

3. Decline (30%) due to regulatory and market pressures.




Trading Oracle: Utilize Bullish Short Volatility strategy, selling ATM $30 Puts, buying OOTM $26 Puts. With 73% profit odds, leverage stable fundamentals and volatility edge.



March 05, 2025


Manulife Financial Forecast

MFC        Manulife Financial











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Assets that tend to move strongly with MFC



SSO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SSO  ProShares Ultra S&P500 (0.93)


CW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CW  Curtiss-Wright (0.93)


VOO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VOO  Vanguard S&P 500 (0.93)


IVV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IVV  BTC iShares Core S&P 500 (0.93)


CWAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CWAN  Clearwater Analytics Holdings (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MFC



UBER Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   UBER  Uber (0.01)


INTU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INTU  Intuit (0.01)


XPEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XPEL  Reg S (-0.01)


KDP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KDP  Keurig Dr Pepper (-0.01)


AMRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMRC  Ameresco (0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MFC



DVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DVN  Devon Energy (-0.83)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EL  Estee Lauder Cos. (-0.83)


HVT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HVT  Haverty Furniture Cos. (-0.83)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (-0.84)


VSAT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VSAT  Viasat (-0.85)









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