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Bullish Case: Continuous infrastructure recovery could enhance investor confidence and drive MINN returns. Historical trends indicate a higher likelihood of positive returns over extended holding periods, suggesting a potential rally if recovery initiatives effectively stabilize the local economy.

Bearish Case: Ongoing political instability and adverse weather conditions could further impair infrastructure, leading to declining investor sentiment. Recent historical returns indicate a significant likelihood of negative outcomes, particularly in a flat price environment.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Infrastructure recovery improves (30% chance).

2. Continued political fallout (25% chance).

3. Stagnant price action persists (20% chance).

4. Adverse weather reemerges (15% chance).

5. Unexpected economic growth (10% chance).

Trading Oracle: Consider initiating Helium Short Volatility credit spreads due to a persistent flat price outlook. Focus on three-month expirations to capitalize on premium decay as the market grapples with uncertainty. This strategy targets a risk-reward ratio with a favorable probability of profit.

September 19, 2024