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MPW Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Acquisition news or successful debt reduction could restore confidence, stabilizing operations and driving MPW's stock upwards amidst a recovering healthcare sector.



Bearish Case: Continued financial struggles and potential further dividend cuts could lead to additional stock price declines, maintaining negative investor sentiment and high volatility.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 1. (30%) Successful debt management improves stock price.
  • 2. (40%) Further financial deterioration leads to dividend cuts.
  • 3. (20%) Market stabilization preserves current valuations.
  • 4. (10%) Unexpected favorable events drive significant recovery.



Trading Oracle: A bearish strategy appears optimal by implementing a debit spread, buying $3.5 puts and selling $3 puts, aiming for expiration in 17 days. This positions you to profit from potential price drops while leveraging high implied volatility, ensuring a strong risk-reward ratio.


December 18, 2024


Medical Properties Forecast

MPW        Medical Properties

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Assets that tend to move strongly with MPW


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TNDM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TNDM  Tandem Diabetes Care (0.64)


ING Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ING  ING Groep (0.63)


ASPN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASPN  Aspen Aerogels (0.61)


IIPR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IIPR  Innovative Industrial Properties (0.6)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MPW


MAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MAN  ManpowerGroup (-0.0)


VRNT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VRNT  Verint Systems (0.0)


HCC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HCC  Warrior Met Coal (0.0)


MP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MP  MP Materials (0.0)


RIG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RIG  Transocean (0.0)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MPW


X Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   X  United States Steel (-0.53)


GTLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GTLB  Gitlab (-0.53)


AKBA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AKBA  Akebia Therapeutics (-0.54)


VTRS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VTRS  Viatris (-0.56)


DDOG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DDOG  Datadog (-0.57)







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