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MRCY Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Recent contract wins and insider confidence could drive stock price higher. Implied volatility backwardation suggests potential upward price movement in the near term.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility indicates potential for further price declines. Legal challenges and market uncertainty continue to overshadow growth prospects.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Contract success fuels a 10% rise (45%).

2. Legal issues drive a 15% drop (40%).

3. Price stabilizes, reflecting mean reversion (15%).

April 30, 2025

Mercury Systems Forecast

MRCY Mercury Systems

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MRCY

FOXA Fox Corporation - (0.91)

LRN Stride (0.91)

OGE Oge Energy (0.91)

LNG Cheniere Energy (0.89)

JPM JPMorgan Chase (0.87)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MRCY

IMO Imperial Oil (-0.02)

ROIV Roivant Sciences (-0.04)

RVMD Revolution Medicines (0.04)

DDOG Datadog (-0.04)

RMBS Rambus (0.05)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MRCY

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.87)

XRX Xerox (-0.88)

RCKT Rocket Pharmaceuticals (-0.89)

ADNT Adient (-0.9)

CGC Canopy Growth (-0.9)

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