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MRK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: MRK's strong pipeline and recent oncology collaborations bolster growth potential. Strategic acquisitions enhance drug diversity.

Bearish Case: Patent cliffs and increased competition for Keytruda pose risks. High implied volatility suggests potential uncertainties.

Potential Outcomes: 70% Keytruda remains a top seller, boosting revenue.
50% New drug approvals drive stock.
40% Generic competition threatens profits.
35% Regulatory issues impact negatively.

March 13, 2025

Merck Forecast

MRK Merck

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MRK

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DOW Dow (0.92)

WFRD Weatherford International plc - New (0.91)

BIIB Biogen (0.91)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (0.91)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MRK

EIX Edison International (0.0)

PRU Prudential Financial (-0.0)

LHX L3Harris (0.01)

VOYA Voya Financial (0.01)

PHM PulteGroup (0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MRK

SAP Sap SE (-0.91)

ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies (-0.91)

GSHD Goosehead Insurance (-0.91)

BR Broadridge Financial Solutions (-0.92)

CBRE CBRE (-0.92)

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