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MRK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Merck's strategic acquisitions and strong oncology pipeline continue to drive growth, supported by positive trial results and new market approvals.

Bearish Case: Rising legal challenges, patent expirations, and increased competition threaten to erode Merck's market share and profit margins.

Potential Outcomes: 40%: New drug approvals boost stock; 35%: Lawsuits and patent issues cause volatility; 25%: Strategic partnerships expand market presence.

Trading Oracle: Deploy a bullish credit spread by selling the $100 put and buying the $95 put expiring in 2 weeks. This approach targets moderate bullish sentiment with a high probability of profit, leveraging current implied volatility stability.

February 04, 2025

Merck Forecast

MRK Merck

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Uncorrelated Assets

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