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MRK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Merck's innovative drug pipeline, featuring Keytruda and Tepmetko, positions it strongly for future growth. Positive trial results and strategic acquisitions bolster confidence.

Bearish Case: MRK faces challenges from patent cliffs, legal battles, and declining demand for established drugs like Gardasil. High implied volatility suggests potential downward pressure.

Potential Outcomes: 60% Keytruda and Tepmetko drive growth, 35% patent challenges affect profits, 5% breakthrough drug approval boosts momentum.

Trading Oracle: Consider bullish credit spreads with a short to medium-term outlook. Sell $100 puts and buy $95 puts expiring in two weeks, leveraging current volatility and trading volumes for high profit probability.

January 04, 2025

Merck Forecast

MRK Merck

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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