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MRK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Merck's robust pipeline, strategic acquisitions, and new approvals strengthen growth potential, offsetting patent cliff impacts. Lower implied future volatility indicates market confidence.

Bearish Case: High put option volume and legal challenges suggest caution. Patent cliffs threaten revenue stability, with high volatility reflecting market concern over sustained performance.

Potential Outcomes: 50%: Strategic moves mitigate patent impacts, stabilizing price.
30%: Legal/regulatory issues create downward pressure.
20%: New drug successes drive growth significantly.

May 15, 2025

Merck Forecast

MRK Merck

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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