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MRK Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Merck's robust pipeline, strategic acquisitions, and Keytruda's performance continue to bolster growth despite challenges. New FDA approvals hint at future revenue surges.

Bearish Case: Upcoming patent expirations and legal challenges threaten Merck's revenue streams. High implied volatility indicates market skepticism about sustaining its performance.

Potential Outcomes:

1. New drug approvals boost MRK (35%).

2. Generic competition erodes revenues (45%).

3. Strategic acquisitions increase growth (20%). Bearish lean due to volatility trends.

April 11, 2025

Merck Forecast

MRK Merck

Price Forecast
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MUR Murphy Oil (0.94)

ADM Archer Daniels Midland (0.94)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MRK

IRM Iron Mountain (0.01)

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (0.01)

RMBS Rambus (-0.02)

TTI Tetra Technologies (-0.03)

ZETA Zeta Global Holdings Corp (0.04)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MRK

ADP Automatic Data Processing (-0.87)

LNG Cheniere Energy (-0.88)

BK Bank Of New York Mellon (-0.89)

LRN Stride (-0.92)

FOXA Fox Corporation - (-0.93)

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