Bullish Case: Moderna's promising pipeline, new vaccine data, and strategic funding agreements position MRNA for potential growth and increased market share in the biotech field.


Bearish Case: Safety concerns, legal challenges, and high volatility suggest potential downside risk, undermining investor confidence and possibly leading to further MRNA price erosion.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Successful flu program with Blackstone catalyzes growth (40%).

2. Trial setbacks reignite safety worries, pressure stock (30%).

3. MRNA vaccines' demand slump, pressuring revenues (30%).


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April 02, 2024


Moderna Forecast

MRNA        Moderna
Price Forecast: NEUTRAL    Price Action: MEAN REVERTING (?)






Correlated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly with MRNA



FMC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [FMC]  FMC (0.88)


KMB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [KMB]  Kimberly-Clark (0.86)


ILMN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [ILMN]  Illumina (0.86)


EL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [EL]  Estee Lauder Cos. (0.85)


GPC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GPC]  Genuine Parts (0.84)



Uncorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets with little price relationship to MRNA



GLNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GLNG]  Golar Lng (0.0)


OTIS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [OTIS]  Otis Worldwide (0.0)


FIVN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [FIVN]  Five9 (0.0)


GLBE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [GLBE]  Global E Online (0.01)


CTLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CTLT]  Catalent (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Stock Forecasts

Assets that tend to move strongly against MRNA



AKAM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [AKAM]  Akamai (-0.74)


LNG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [LNG]  Cheniere Energy (-0.75)


CQP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CQP]  Cheniere Energy (-0.77)


HDSN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [HDSN]  Hudson Technologies (-0.77)


CME Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   [CME]  CME (-0.78)





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