MRNA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Moderna's expansion into cancer and rare disease therapies offers substantial upside potential. Innovative drug delivery technologies and a robust mRNA pipeline hint at significant future growth.




Bearish Case: Significant implied volatility and legal challenges indicate ongoing instability. Waning demand for COVID vaccines and intense competition may further pressure Moderna's financial performance.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40%: Legal issues lead to financial setbacks.
  • 30%: New vaccines significantly boost revenue.
  • 30%: Market remains flat, affected by mixed news.



April 02, 2025


Moderna Forecast

MRNA        Moderna











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ASH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASH  Ashland (0.96)


AGEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGEN  Agenus (0.95)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (0.94)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.94)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MRNA



FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (-0.01)


YCL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   YCL  ProShares Ultra Yen (-0.03)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.04)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (-0.04)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.05)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MRNA



CHWY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CHWY  Chewy (-0.86)


CLBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CLBT  Cellebrite DI (-0.86)


RKLB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RKLB  Rocket Lab USA (-0.86)


GIL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GIL  Gildan Activewear (-0.87)


ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.9)









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