MRNA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Moderna's expansion into cancer and rare disease therapies offers substantial upside potential. Innovative drug delivery technologies and a robust mRNA pipeline hint at significant future growth.




Bearish Case: Significant implied volatility and legal challenges indicate ongoing instability. Waning demand for COVID vaccines and intense competition may further pressure Moderna's financial performance.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40%: Legal issues lead to financial setbacks.
  • 30%: New vaccines significantly boost revenue.
  • 30%: Market remains flat, affected by mixed news.



April 02, 2025


Moderna Forecast

MRNA        Moderna











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MRNA



BIIB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BIIB  Biogen (0.96)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (0.94)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (0.94)


VAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VAL  Valaris (0.93)


WFRD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WFRD  Weatherford International plc - New (0.92)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MRNA



CRC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRC  California Resources (-0.0)


AMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AMT  American Tower (0.0)


XLV Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XLV  Health Care Select Sector SPDR (0.0)


STX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STX  Seagate Technology (0.0)


PCAR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PCAR  Paccar (-0.02)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MRNA



ALLT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ALLT  Allot (-0.9)


SAP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAP  Sap SE (-0.9)


CMI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CMI  Cummins (-0.9)


BR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BR  Broadridge Financial Solutions (-0.9)


CBRE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CBRE  CBRE (-0.91)









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