MRNA Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Moderna's expansion into cancer and rare disease therapies offers substantial upside potential. Innovative drug delivery technologies and a robust mRNA pipeline hint at significant future growth.




Bearish Case: Significant implied volatility and legal challenges indicate ongoing instability. Waning demand for COVID vaccines and intense competition may further pressure Moderna's financial performance.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 40%: Legal issues lead to financial setbacks.
  • 30%: New vaccines significantly boost revenue.
  • 30%: Market remains flat, affected by mixed news.



April 02, 2025


Moderna Forecast

MRNA        Moderna











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AGEN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   AGEN  Agenus (0.95)


GES Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GES  Guess (0.94)


TDW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDW  Tidewater Inc. - New (0.94)


COTY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   COTY  Coty (0.94)


STM Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STM  New York Shares (0.94)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MRNA



IMO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IMO  Imperial Oil (0.0)


RMBS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RMBS  Rambus (0.01)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.04)


GRBK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GRBK  Green Brick (-0.05)


TBT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TBT  PowerShares UltraShort Lehman 20+ Yea (-0.05)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MRNA



ORI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORI  Old Republic International (-0.9)


BK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BK  Bank Of New York Mellon (-0.91)


ADP Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ADP  Automatic Data Processing (-0.91)


OUNZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   OUNZ  VanEck Merk Gold (-0.92)


ORLY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ORLY  O'Reilly Automotive (-0.96)









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