MSFT Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: Microsoft's AI growth, cloud dominance, and strategic acquisitions position it for strong returns. Despite recent declines, strong demand for AI & cloud services offers upside potential, supported by lower implied volatility.




Bearish Case: Intensifying competition in AI, regulatory hurdles, and dependencies (e.g. OpenAI, ActiveX challenges) may pressure growth. Recent price drops and legal/regulatory headwinds could further increase market skepticism.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Stable AI growth boosts stock (50%).

2. Regulatory issues with Activision regain (30%).

3. Unexpected tech competition hinders growth (20%).



April 17, 2025


Microsoft Forecast

MSFT        Microsoft











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EXC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXC  Exelon (-0.64)









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