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MSFT Forecast + Trading Strategies



Price Forecast:




80% Confidence

Bearish   <->   Bullish



Bullish Case: Microsoft's strong investments in AI and recent advancements in cloud services position it favorably for future growth, especially with upcoming product launches and enhanced healthcare technology strategies.



Bearish Case: Potential legal challenges concerning its Activision Blizzard acquisition could hinder growth prospects, coupled with increasing market competition and regulatory scrutiny impacting profitability.



Potential Outcomes:
  • 60%: Microsoft's AI expansion drives market share growth.
  • 30%: Legal issues from Activision deal impact stock price.
  • 50%: Continued innovation in cloud services leads to revenue spikes.
  • 20%: Economic downturn affects tech spending, slowing growth.



Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish debit spread by buying the $455 call and selling the $462.5 call expiring in 4 days. This plays into the 60% chance of AI expansion while managing risk with high potential returns of 359% and a favorable Helium edge.


December 18, 2024


Microsoft Forecast

MSFT        Microsoft

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