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MSFT Forecast


Bearish   <—>   Bullish



80% Confidence



Bullish Case: Microsoft’s strong AI and cloud growth, paired with strategic investments like the Premier League deal, support further stock increases. Current implied volatility backwardation signals short-term stability.



Bearish Case: Significant layoffs and mixed sentiment about growth sustainability create potential downside. Regulatory scrutiny and competitive pressures further compound risks, threatening valuation stability.



Potential Outcomes:
  • AI-driven growth (~60% chance): Stock above $500.
  • Regulatory hurdles (~30% chance): Stabilizes below $480.
  • Economic downturn (~10% chance): Impacts wider tech sector.


July 02, 2025


Microsoft Forecast

MSFT        Microsoft

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PEG Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   PEG  Public Service Enterprise (0.0)


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DHI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DHI  D.R. Horton (-0.0)



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SPXU Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SPXU  ProShares UltraPro Short S&P 500 (-0.53)







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