MSTR Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holding strategy may benefit from a BTC price surge, increasing its asset value and attracting bullish interest, potentially boosted by refined corporate strategies.




Bearish Case: High Bitcoin and market volatility, coupled with regulatory risks, could lead to significant MSTR valuation drops. Potential forced Bitcoin selling may also erode investor confidence.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 60%: Bitcoin rise enhances MSTR's holdings.
  • 20%: Regulatory or ETF impacts reduce MSTR's appeal.
  • 15%: Bitcoin drop decreases MSTR value.
  • 5%: Unforeseen strategic shifts affect prices.



March 12, 2025


Microstrategy Forecast

MSTR        Microstrategy











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with MSTR



BBWI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BBWI  Bath & Body Works (0.83)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (0.8)


GT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   GT  Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.8)


TDOC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDOC  Teladoc Health (0.78)


CRSR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CRSR  Corsair Gaming (0.76)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MSTR



DAVE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAVE  Dave (0.0)


HIMX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   HIMX  Himax (0.0)


V Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   V  Visa (0.0)


RRR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RRR  Red Rock Resorts (-0.01)


XPEL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XPEL  Reg S (0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MSTR



KO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KO  Coca-Cola (-0.75)


SO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SO  Southern (-0.76)


ZETA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ZETA  Zeta Global Holdings Corp (-0.77)


VIXY Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VIXY  ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.86)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (-0.86)









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