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MTA Forecast

Price Forecast:

Bearish <-> Bullish

Bullish Case: A funding resolution is reached, enabling infrastructure projects and catalyzing MTA price recovery. Historical returns from the last 16 years show robust gains for longer holding periods, increasing investor confidence.

Bearish Case: Continued financial challenges and legal uncertainties may suppress MTA’s price. Recent data indicates strong selling pressure, compounded by low recent trading volume and negative market sentiment.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Funding Resolution: 30% chance.

2. Continued financial strain: 50% chance.

3. Market stabilization: 20% chance.

4. Legal resolution improves sentiment: 15% chance.

5. Additional funding issues arise: 25% chance. These probabilities are revised from previous predictions considering recent market events.

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November 13, 2024

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Assets that tend to move strongly with MTA

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JNUG Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bu (0.54)

GOLD Barrick Gold (0.52)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to MTA

IPGP IPG Photonics (0.0)

WMG Warner Music (0.0)

IBB BlackRock Institutional Trust Company N.A. - iShares Biotechnology (0.0)

SOXS Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (-0.0)

DKNG DraftKings (-0.0)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against MTA

SWTX SpringWorks Therapeutics (-0.45)

TTEK Tetra Tech (-0.48)

URBN Urban Outfitters (-0.5)

TTC Toro (-0.56)

VRNT Verint Systems (-0.6)

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