VIRT Forecast + Trading Strategies


Bullish Case: VIRT's recent trading volumes indicate strong market interest, bolstered by expected growth in algorithmic trading, potentially driving prices higher. Implied volatility remains elevated, suggesting anticipations of significant upward movements.


Bearish Case: Ongoing legal challenges and a recent slowdown in trading volumes pose risks. The flat implied volatility term structure suggests a lack of clarity around future growth, potentially dampening investor sentiment.


Potential Outcomes:

1) Increased trading volumes from market volatility (40%).

2) Successful resolution of legal challenges improves confidence (30%).

3) Further declines due to underperformance or legal issues (30%).


Trading Oracle: Execute a bullish debit spread by purchasing the VIRT 03/21/2025 30.00 C while selling the 32.00 C, aiming for a high reward-to-risk ratio. The elevated implied volatility indicates potential for upward movement, positioning well for the expected market recovery.


July 25, 2024


Virtu Financial Forecast

VIRT      Virtu Financial











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Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to VIRT



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SGHC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SGHC  Super Group (SGHC) (-0.0)


STWD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   STWD  Starwood Property (0.0)


FSK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FSK  FS KKR (-0.01)


BKR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BKR  Baker Hughes (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against VIRT



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SH Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SH  ProShares Short S&P500 (-0.72)


WMT Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   WMT  Walmart (-0.72)


SHLS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHLS  Shoals (-0.72)


TDC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TDC  Teradata (-0.74)





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