NA Forecast


Bullish Case: With NA severely undervalued (-94.5% in two years), any bullish catalyst like positive earnings or technological breakthroughs can result in substantial upside, as highlighted by historical uptrends shown in the return surface plot.


Bearish Case: Geopolitical tensions and continuous mean-reversion trends suggest further downside, maximizing losses. Recent -31.5% price drop in sixty days and geopolitical risks indicate strong negative pressure.


Potential Outcomes:

1. Bullish tech breakthroughs (20%).

2. Mean reversion continues (-30%) leading to moderate drops.

3. Geopolitical disruptions (-25%) could trigger sharper declines.

4. Unexpected positive catalysts (15%) might boost prices.


Trading Oracle: Trade credit spreads (short volatility) due to sustained mean-reversion and geopolitical risks. Sell the $0.50 calls and buy $0.55 calls with a 60-day expiry. This strategy maximizes probability-of-profit given current trends and limits risk exposure.


July 21, 2024


Nano Labs Ltd Forecast

NA      Nano Labs Ltd











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CNX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CNX  CNX Resources (-0.72)





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