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NEON Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: NEON's implied volatility edge and Databricks acquisition talks could boost investor optimism, driving short-term gains.

Bearish Case: High implied volatility and historical mean-reversion suggest corrective risks. Market skepticism on revenue growth lingers.

Potential Outcomes: Price rebounds to $13.5 (35%), stabilizes around $12 (40%), or declines to $10.5 (25%). Potential acquisition impacts volatility.

Trading Oracle: Bearish Long Volatility strategy is optimal due to high implied volatility and uncertainty around future price movements. This strategy leverages the market's expectation of volatility by profiting from variance in actual outcomes.

May 07, 2025

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NEON

SATS EchoStar (0.88)

SMMT Summit Therapeutics (0.83)

BK Bank Of New York Mellon (0.82)

TVTX Travere Therapeutics (0.82)

EOSE Eos Energy Enterprises (0.82)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NEON

ZIM Zim Integrated Shipping Services (-0.0)

HASI Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure (-0.0)

DDOG Datadog (0.01)

TTI Tetra Technologies (-0.02)

MNSO MINISO Group Holding Ltd (-0.02)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NEON

CLSK Cleanspark (-0.74)

WNC Wabash National (-0.76)

DVN Devon Energy (-0.76)

MUR Murphy Oil (-0.77)

ATKR Atkore (-0.8)

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