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NLR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: Increasing institutional interest and global nuclear energy demand could drive NLR higher. Low volatility at key strikes indicates potential for upward price movement as regulatory environments stabilize.

Bearish Case: Potential geopolitical tensions and regulatory setbacks might depress NLR prices. Elevated put volume and slightly higher bearish risk suggest downward pressure could increase.

Potential Outcomes:

1. Sideways between $88-$92: Prob. 55%. Mean-reverting action.

2. Bullish above $95: Prob. 25%. Macroeconomic drivers improve.

3. Bearish below $85: Prob. 20%. Regulatory hurdles worsen.

Trading Oracle: Trade a bullish debit call spread: buy NLR 91C, sell NLR 95C expiring 03/2025. Target $93 on stabilization. Low implied volatility enhances risk:reward ratio. High probability-of-profit with current sentiment and spread pricing.

January 31, 2025

VanEck Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy Forecast

NLR VanEck Vectors Uranium+Nuclear Energy

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