NLY Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: NLY shows upside potential due to strong institutional interest and implied volatility favoring call options. Historical data suggests potential for price recovery as interest rates stabilize.




Bearish Case: Persistent implied volatility and historical price declines highlight risks. High leverage and dividend sustainability concerns could lead to further price drops, especially if rates remain volatile.




Potential Outcomes:

1. Stabilizing rates improve margins (45%).

2. Dividend cuts lead to further decline (35%).

3. Prices remain stagnant (20%).



April 19, 2025


Annaly Forecast

NLY        Annaly











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NLY



TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (0.8)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.73)


DAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   DAN  Dana (0.64)


SAN Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SAN  Banco Santander (0.61)


TAL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TAL  TAL Education (0.61)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NLY



XRX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   XRX  Xerox (0.0)


BK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   BK  Bank Of New York Mellon (0.0)


MUX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MUX  McEwen Mining (0.0)


RACE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   RACE  Ferrari (-0.01)


CCK Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   CCK  Crown Holdings (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NLY



KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (-0.46)


EA Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EA  Electronic Arts (-0.47)


EXAS Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EXAS  Exact Sciences (-0.49)


MOD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   MOD  Modine Manufacturing (-0.5)


FLR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FLR  Fluor (-0.57)









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