NOC Forecast



Bearish<—>Bullish



80% Confidence




Bullish Case: With consistent defense contracts and innovation, NOC is set for growth. Implied volatility reflects market optimism.




Bearish Case: High volatility suggests potential overpricing; modernization challenges and geopolitical tensions could impact margins.




Potential Outcomes:
  • 75%: Continued defense contracts drive growth.
  • 20%: Modernization delays impact margins negatively.
  • 5%: Unforeseen geopolitical impacts cause decline.




Trading Oracle: Consider a bullish long debit spread strategy (Helium Long Volatility) with mid-term outlook by buying $470 call and selling $480 call. This leverages implied volatility and the company's favorable outlook, ensuring a positive edge with high reward-to-risk.



January 03, 2025


Northrop Grumman Forecast

NOC        Northrop Grumman











Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NOC



ITB Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ITB  BTC iShares U.S. Home Construction (0.77)


FE Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FE  Firstenergy (0.77)


SHW Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   SHW  Sherwin-Williams (0.77)


VXX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   VXX  iPath Series B S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (0.77)


EIX Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EIX  Edison International (0.75)



Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NOC



KOLD Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   KOLD  ProShares UltraShort Bloomberg Natural Gas (0.0)


ODFL Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ODFL  Old Dominion Freight Line (-0.01)


FEZ Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   FEZ  SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.01)


EMR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   EMR  Emerson Electric (0.01)


TWO Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   TWO  Two Harbors Investment (-0.01)



Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NOC



IRTC Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   IRTC  iRhythm (-0.7)


ASML Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ASML  New York Shares (-0.71)


ANET Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ANET  Arista Networks (-0.71)


ETR Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   ETR  Entergy (-0.71)


INDI Forecast + Options Trading Strategies   INDI  Indie Semiconductor (-0.78)









Become a more profitable investor with AI optimized trading strategies






×

Chat with NOC


 Ask any question about NOC!