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NTR Forecast

Bearish <—> Bullish

80% Confidence

Bullish Case: With 69% more bullish risk, significant call option volume, and stable implied volatility, Nutrien's fundamentals and demand trends suggest potential upside.

Bearish Case: Flat current term structure, historical volatility, and potential regulatory challenges hold downside risk, particularly with mixed analyst views and agricultural market volatility.

Potential Outcomes: 50% chance: Sustained demand drives long-term gains.
35% chance: Regulatory hurdles increase costs, trimming profits.
15% chance: Neutral impact if market remains flat.

Trading Oracle: Given positive edge in bullish short volatility and flat short-term trend, optimize with Bullish Short Volatility. Utilize stable implied volatility and robust demand indicators to capitalize on positive risk-reward dynamics.

May 29, 2025

Nutrien Forecast

NTR Nutrien

Price Forecast
Future Uncertainty

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Correlated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly with NTR

WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance (0.77)

ETR Entergy (0.74)

FEZ SPDR EURO Stoxx 50 (0.7)

SAN Banco Santander (0.66)

GT Goodyear Tire & Rubber (0.64)

Uncorrelated Assets

Assets with little price relationship to NTR

CRH CRH Plc (0.0)

SATS EchoStar (0.0)

AMZN Amazon.com (-0.0)

STM New York Shares (-0.0)

TDW Tidewater Inc. - New (-0.01)

Anticorrelated Assets

Assets that tend to move strongly against NTR

FCEL Fuelcell Energy (-0.64)

EIX Edison International (-0.65)

SAFE Safehold (-0.67)

IRM Iron Mountain (-0.7)

VTRS Viatris (-0.71)

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